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DOE-HDBK-3010-94
6.0 Inadvertent Nuclear Criticality; Total Fission Yield
The 100 liters is a general value assumed for release fraction purposes, and is not assigned
any specific technical meaning for real systems.
6.2.3.2
F u lly M od erated an d R eflected S olid s
McLaughlin (1991) discusses the basis for the total fission yield reported by Woodcock
(3E+20 fissions) that is based upon an autocatalytic phenomena ("... dry powder becomes
flooded, goes prompt critical as an equivalent very rich solution, and then the mixing and
dilution which accompany the excursion introduces additional reactivity since one is sliding
down the critical mass versus concentration curve.") Competing negative feedback
mechanisms (e.g., thermal expansion and microbubble formation) are ignored. Woodcock
admits "this estimate is rather a shot in the dark."  The possibility of positive feedback
during dilution of rich solutions is considered by Stratton but "it is difficult to imagine an
explosive reaction". A prompt total fission yield in a few hundred liters of liquid would be a
significant explosion. McLaughlin (1991) cites the Woodriver Junction criticality as most
closely approximating this situation with a total fission yield of 1E+17 fissions.
For water-moderated metal pieces, McLaughlin (1991) notes that Woodcock does not provide
a discussion on the basis for prompt yield of 3E+18 and total yield of 1E+19. Instead of the
values referring to a "system of small pieces of fissile material" as indicated in the footnotes
to the Table 6-5, the values are for "1 or a small number of pieces".
The three historical excursion listed in Olsen et al. (July 1974) are bounded by a value of
3E+16 total fissions. Given the types of situation encountered in DOE facilities where it is
difficult to accumulate the quantity of materials required, contain the material and moderator,
and assume any shape that would be unfavorable, a reference value of 1E+18 fission in a
single burst is assessed to be the bounding reference value and is believed to be very
conservative.
6.2.3.3
D ry P ow d er an d M etal
"Criticality accidents with solid metal systems (including alloys) should be readily controlled
at a likelihood of occurrence that is vanishingly small. ... Only rarely are there operational
requirements which necessitate working with more than the water reflected spherical critical
mass (233U 6.0 kg, 235U 20.1 kg, 239Pu 5.0 kg) ... " (McLaughlin, 1991). Eleven excursions
are listed for Metal Systems in Olsen et al. (July 1974). All the historical excursions have
taken place in experimental systems. Five resulted from mechanical failures that increased
the reflection in the system. Three resulted from incorrect operations, and three resulted
from computational errors. None are especially representative of anticipated accidental
conditions, and are likely to be conservative representations of expected conditions.
Page 6-15


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